SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
50.89% ( -0.09) | 23.84% ( -0.03) | 25.27% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( 0.25) | 45.57% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( 0.24) | 67.9% ( -0.23) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( 0.06) | 17.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.23% ( 0.1) | 48.77% ( -0.1) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.23) | 31.98% ( -0.23) |
