SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.86% ( 0) | 19.37% | 61.77% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.25% ( 0.01) | 32.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.56% ( 0.01) | 54.43% ( -0.01) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( 0.01) | 30.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.36% ( 0.01) | 66.64% ( -0.01) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% ( 0) | 10.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.33% ( 0) | 33.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.21% 3-1 @ 2% Other @ 3.61% Total : 18.86% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.37% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.15% 0-4 @ 3.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.47% 1-5 @ 1.89% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.59% 2-5 @ 1.12% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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