SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Groningen | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Cambuur |
40.73% ( -2.51) | 25.84% ( 0.63) | 33.42% ( 1.88) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( -2.15) | 49.89% ( 2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( -1.95) | 71.88% ( 1.95) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -2.16) | 24.21% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.45% ( -3.17) | 58.55% ( 3.17) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( 0.16) | 28.36% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.9% ( 0.2) | 64.1% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.43)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 42 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Ajax | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 33 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 19 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 15 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 |
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