Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.