SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sandefjord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Aalesund |
43.3% ( -0.17) | 25.17% ( -0.03) | 31.53% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.21) | 47.55% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( 0.19) | 69.76% ( -0.19) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.01) | 21.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.78% ( 0.02) | 55.22% ( -0.01) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( 0.24) | 28.43% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.81% ( 0.29) | 64.19% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Aalesund |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Tromso ILTromso | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | MoldeMolde | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Viking FKViking FK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | RosenborgRosenborg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Odd | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | SandefjordSandefjord | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | HamKam | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 4 |
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