SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 84.02%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 5.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Sandefjord |
84.02% ( -0.01) | 10% | 5.98% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.49% ( 0.03) | 20.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.19% ( 0.05) | 38.81% ( -0.05) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.55% ( 0) | 3.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 84.94% ( 0.01) | 15.05% ( -0.02) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( 0.05) | 41.82% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.72% ( 0.05) | 78.28% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 3-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 8% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 6.74% ( 0)5-0 @ 5.2% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.92% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.55% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.41% 7-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)6-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 4.88% Total : 84.02% | 1-1 @ 4.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 10% | 1-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 5.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Viking FKViking FK | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | SK BrannBrann | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Tromso ILTromso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | MoldeMolde | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Odd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | SandefjordSandefjord | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | HamKam | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 4 |
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