SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Sandefjord |
38.44% ( -3.86) | 24.62% ( 0.7) | 36.94% ( 3.18) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( -2.79) | 43.86% ( 2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( -2.78) | 66.25% ( 2.79) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -3.03) | 22.7% ( 3.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.64% ( -4.7) | 56.36% ( 4.71) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.45) | 23.48% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.5% ( 0.65) | 57.5% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.48)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.62)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.47) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.99)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.78)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.41)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Viking FKViking FK | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | SK BrannBrann | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Tromso ILTromso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | MoldeMolde | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Odd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | SandefjordSandefjord | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | HamKam | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 4 |
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