SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 83.26%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 6.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Sandefjord |
83.26% ( 0.03) | 10.73% ( -0.01) | 6.01% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.23% ( 0.01) | 24.77% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.39% ( 0.01) | 44.61% ( -0.01) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.72% ( 0.01) | 4.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.23% ( 0.02) | 17.77% ( -0.02) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.03) | 45.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.57% ( -0.03) | 81.43% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 3-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.99% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 6.3% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.15% 5-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)7-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 83.26% | 1-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 10.73% | 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 6.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Viking FKViking FK | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Tromso ILTromso | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | MoldeMolde | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | RosenborgRosenborg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Odd | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | SandefjordSandefjord | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | HamKam | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
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