Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
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