Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
4.42) 
-1.41) 
