SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Roda JC |
59.69% ( -0.75) | 20.26% ( 0.24) | 20.05% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.8% ( -0.37) | 35.19% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.79% ( -0.42) | 57.2% ( 0.41) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -0.32) | 11.55% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.52% ( -0.69) | 36.48% ( 0.68) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 0.27) | 30.75% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% ( 0.31) | 67.02% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 59.69% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 20.05% |
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