SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 68.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Helmond Sport |
68.28% ( 0.06) | 17.85% ( -0.01) | 13.87% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.59% ( -0.04) | 35.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.56% ( -0.05) | 57.44% ( 0.05) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% ( 0) | 9.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.23% ( 0) | 31.77% ( -0.01) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% ( -0.09) | 37.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.28% ( -0.09) | 74.72% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.6% 4-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 4.43% Total : 68.28% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.85% | 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 13.87% |
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