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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Roda JC |
32.61% ( 0.16) | 23.25% ( 0.01) | 44.14% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.8% ( 0.02) | 38.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% ( 0.02) | 60.47% ( -0.02) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( 0.1) | 23.22% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% ( 0.15) | 57.13% ( -0.14) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.06) | 17.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( -0.1) | 48.39% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 44.14% |
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