SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong AZ |
46.92% ( -0.26) | 23.06% ( 0.1) | 30.01% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.38) | 38.55% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0.4) | 60.84% ( 0.4) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.25) | 16.78% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.26% ( -0.44) | 46.73% ( 0.43) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.09) | 24.94% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.41% ( -0.12) | 59.58% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.28% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 85 | 36 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Heracles | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 67 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 52 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 50 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 43 |
| 12 | Roda JC | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 41 |
| 14 | Jong AZJong AZ | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 37 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 31 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 30 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 32 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 30 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 |
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