SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
46.17% ( 0.44) | 22.11% ( -0.17) | 31.72% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 67.04% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0.71) | 32.95% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.33% ( 0.82) | 54.67% ( -0.82) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( 0.42) | 14.92% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.69% ( 0.81) | 43.3% ( -0.81) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( 0.19) | 21.2% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.91% ( 0.3) | 54.09% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.34% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.67% Total : 31.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 101 | 42 | 59 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 96 | 41 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 66 | 38 | 28 | 67 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 65 | 64 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 62 | 1 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 60 | 56 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 50 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 49 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 74 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 82 | -36 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 37 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 27 |
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