SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
62.57% ( -0.26) | 20.08% ( 0.17) | 17.34% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.61) | 38.85% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( -0.65) | 61.16% ( 0.65) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( -0.25) | 11.88% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.81% ( -0.55) | 37.19% ( 0.55) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.26) | 35.74% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.48% ( -0.27) | 72.51% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.01% Total : 62.58% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.08% | 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 42 | 56 | 79 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 93 | 40 | 53 | 79 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 59 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 57 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 56 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 50 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 49 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 47 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Roda JC | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 40 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 36 | 10 | 4 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 34 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 36 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 27 |
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