SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Groningen |
34.95% ( -0.07) | 24.2% ( 0.01) | 40.84% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.88% ( -0.05) | 42.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.48% ( -0.05) | 64.52% ( 0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.06) | 23.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.1% ( -0.09) | 57.9% ( 0.08) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( 0.01) | 20.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.58% ( 0.01) | 53.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 9 | EmmenEmmen | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 32 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 19 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 16 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
