SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
26.17% ( -0.28) | 25.06% ( 0.12) | 48.77% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( -0.68) | 50.05% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( -0.61) | 72.03% ( 0.61) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( -0.59) | 33.64% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.65) | 70.29% ( 0.65) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.2) | 20.54% ( 0.2) |
