Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 7.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
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