SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sochaux | Draw | Lorient |
55.37% ( 0.24) | 22.76% ( -0.13) | 21.87% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( 0.46) | 44.33% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( 0.44) | 66.71% ( -0.44) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( 0.24) | 15.88% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.44) | 45.09% ( -0.44) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( 0.16) | 34.27% ( -0.16) |
