SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lorient |
53.94% ( 0.18) | 24.1% ( -0.07) | 21.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( 0.19) | 49.93% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( 0.17) | 71.92% ( -0.17) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( 0.14) | 18.42% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.23) | 49.59% ( -0.23) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 0) | 37.33% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0) | 74.11% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
