SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
38.5% ( 0.35) | 27.98% ( -0.03) | 33.52% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% ( 0.05) | 58.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( 0.04) | 78.96% ( -0.04) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.23) | 29.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.63% ( 0.28) | 65.37% ( -0.28) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( -0.19) | 32.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.93% ( -0.21) | 69.07% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.5% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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