Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Como had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
-0.17) 
0.07) 
