SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Lecce |
50.13% ( 0.34) | 26.36% ( 0.05) | 23.51% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( -0.46) | 57.05% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( -0.37) | 77.94% ( 0.37) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.04) | 22.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.43% ( -0.07) | 56.57% ( 0.07) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.16% ( -0.62) | 39.84% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.5% ( -0.58) | 76.5% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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