SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Napoli |
20.35% ( -0.07) | 23.56% ( -0.08) | 56.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( 0.22) | 49.59% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( 0.19) | 71.61% ( -0.19) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( 0.05) | 38.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.51% ( 0.04) | 75.49% ( -0.04) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 0.14) | 17.5% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.99% ( 0.23) | 48% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.35% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 56.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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