Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and San Lorenzo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Union had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
