Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Union had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
