Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
