Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Avai - Brasileiro - May 22, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

May 22, 2022 at 11pm UK at Arena da Baixada

Terans (23' pen., 43')
Moura (19'), Vinicius (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pottker (48' pen.)
Dentinho (8'), Macae (23'), Silva (73'), Copete (75'), Galdezani (83')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Avai

Athletico set out to record a fifth straight home win, while Avai have struggled away from home in 2022. We fancy the hosts to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Avai
56.93% ( -0.02)	25.76% ( 0.05)	17.31% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 39.89% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.85% (

-0.18)

61.15% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.89% (

-0.14)

81.1% (

0.14)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.08)

21.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-0.13)

54.78% (

0.13)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.92% (

-0.15)

49.08% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.99% (

-0.11)

84.01% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 56.92%

Avai 17.31%

Draw 25.75%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 16.25% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.92%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.31%

Head to Head

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras Palmeiras	26	15	9	2	43	19	24	54
2	Internacional Internacional	26	12	10	4	41	25	16	46
3	Fluminense	26	13	6	7	40	30	10	45
4	Flamengo Flamengo	25	13	5	7	40	21	19	44
5	Corinthians	25	12	7	6	29	24	5	43
6	Athletico Paranaense Athletico PR	26	12	7	7	31	29	2	43
7	Atletico Mineiro	26	10	10	6	34	29	5	40
8	America Mineiro America Mineiro	26	10	6	10	22	25	-3	36
9	Goias Goias	25	9	8	8	28	31	-3	35
10	Santos Santos	26	8	10	8	29	24	5	34
11	Bragantino Bragantino	26	8	9	9	36	33	3	33
12	Botafogo	26	8	7	11	25	30	-5	31
13	Ceara Ceara	26	6	13	7	26	26	0	31
14	Fortaleza Fortaleza	26	8	6	12	24	28	-4	30
15	Sao Paulo	25	6	12	7	32	30	2	30
16	Cuiaba	26	6	8	12	17	25	-8	26
17	Coritiba	25	7	4	14	26	41	-15	25
18	Avai	26	6	7	13	25	39	-14	25
19	Atletico Goianiense Atletico GO	25	5	7	13	23	38	-15	22
20	Juventude Juventude	26	3	9	14	20	44	-24	18

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Atletico Mineiro	10	3	16
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16
5	Sao Paulo	10	4	15

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	14	7	7	15
2	Manchester City Man City	6	4	2	0	20	6	14	14
3	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	6	4	2	0	12	5	7	14
4	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	6	4	1	1	11	5	6	13
5	Manchester United Man Utd	6	4	0	2	8	8	0	12
6	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	8	9	-1	10
7	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	15	6	9	9
8	Brentford	6	2	3	1	15	9	6	9
9	Leeds United Leeds	6	2	2	2	10	10	0	8
10	Fulham	6	2	2	2	9	9	0	8
11	Newcastle United Newcastle	6	1	4	1	7	6	1	7
12	Southampton	6	2	1	3	7	10	-3	7
13	Bournemouth	6	2	1	3	5	18	-13	7
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	6	1	3	2	3	4	-1	6
15	Crystal Palace	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6
16	Everton	6	0	4	2	4	6	-2	4
17	Aston Villa	6	1	1	4	5	10	-5	4
18	West Ham United West Ham	6	1	1	4	3	8	-5	4
19	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	6	1	1	4	4	14	-10	4
20	Leicester City Leicester	6	0	1	5	8	16	-8	1

Form, Standings, Stats