Athletico Paranaense 2-0 Club Libertad - Copa Libertadores Group Stage - Football

Athletico Paranaense have had mixed results in this competition, but when they want to they are more than capable of securing a victory with the quality in their squad. Unfortunately for the hosts, Club Libertad have the potential to win the group in this game, and that alone should spur them on to achieve three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
50.02% ( -0.01)	24.15% ( -0.01)	25.83% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

0.03)

46.47% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

0.03)

68.75% (

-0.03)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37% (

0.01)

18.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.07% (

0.01)

49.92% (

-0.02)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99% (

0.03)

32.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53% (

0.03)

68.47% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 50.01%

Club Libertad 25.83%

Draw 24.15%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.01%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.83%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City Man City	33	25	4	4	87	30	57	79
2	Arsenal	34	24	6	4	81	39	42	78
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	33	18	11	4	61	27	34	65
4	Manchester United Man Utd	33	19	6	8	49	40	9	63
5	Liverpool	34	17	8	9	66	42	24	59
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	32	16	7	9	62	40	22	55
7	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	34	16	6	12	63	57	6	54
8	Aston Villa	34	16	6	12	46	42	4	54
9	Brentford	34	12	14	8	52	44	8	50
10	Fulham	34	13	6	15	45	46	-1	45
11	Crystal Palace	34	10	10	14	35	45	-10	40
12	Chelsea	33	10	9	14	31	38	-7	39
13	Bournemouth	34	11	6	17	36	64	-28	39
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	34	10	7	17	29	50	-21	37
15	West Ham United West Ham	34	9	7	18	37	50	-13	34
16	Leicester City Leicester	34	8	6	20	46	59	-13	30
17	Leeds United Leeds	34	7	9	18	43	67	-24	30
18	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	34	7	9	18	30	62	-32	30
19	Everton	34	6	11	17	27	52	-25	29
20	Southampton	34	6	6	22	28	60	-32	24

Form, Standings, Stats