Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Metropolitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result |
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Metropolitanos |
56.85% ( 0.08) | 25.76% ( 0.01) | 17.38% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 39.99% ( -0.2) |
| 38.91% ( -0.17) | 61.09% ( 0.17) |
| 18.94% ( -0.13) | 81.06% ( 0.12) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| 78.34% ( -0.04) | 21.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.21% ( -0.05) | 54.79% ( 0.05) |
| 51.05% ( -0.23) | 48.95% ( 0.23) |
