We said: Valencia 1-0 Celta Vigo
As Celta Vigo tend to struggle on the road, Valencia can continue their revival by securing a spot in the Copa del Rey's last eight. The hosts possess more squad depth and young talent than their visitors, who are more concerned with events at the wrong end of La Liga.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
41.75% ( 0.2) | 27.3% ( -0.1) | 30.95% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( 0.27) |
| 43.58% ( 0.35) | 56.42% ( -0.35) |
| 22.57% ( 0.28) | 77.43% ( -0.28) |
| 73.35% ( 0.27) | 26.65% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.11% ( 0.35) | 61.89% ( -0.35) |
| 66.66% ( 0.12) | 33.33% ( -0.12) |
