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Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio A Lomba
VL
Arosa
0 - 1
Valencia

Carus (37'), Pereira (57'), Pacheco (72'), Miguez (83'), Mella (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yaremchuk (8')
Yaremchuk (37'), Iranzo (75')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Arosa and Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arosa had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Arosa win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
ArosaDrawValencia
24.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.76% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 48.75% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)57.71% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Arosa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05)39.28% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (0.044 0.04)75.99% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)23.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Arosa 24.5%
    Valencia 48.75%
    Draw 26.75%
ArosaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 24.5%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 13.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.64% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Valencia
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga
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