Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia
Castellon
2 - 1
Real Oviedo
Suero (40'), Gronning (49')
Moyita (62'),
Anton (64'), Indias (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Castellon and Real Oviedo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.
| Result |
| Castellon | Draw | Real Oviedo |
41.18% ( 0.08) | 28.76% ( -0.1) | 30.05% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( 0.26) |
| 38.18% ( 0.32) | 61.81% ( -0.32) |
| 18.4% ( 0.24) | 81.6% ( -0.24) |
| 70.47% ( 0.2) | 29.53% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.45% ( 0.25) | 65.55% ( -0.25) |
| 63.11% ( 0.19) | 36.88% ( -0.19) |
