Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Rayo Vallecano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
