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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 20, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de La Romareda
Zaragoza
3 - 0
Castellon
Serrano (13'), Azon (47'), Tejero (66' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (53'), Cubillas (70')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawCastellon
45.76%28.64%25.59%
Both teams to score 42.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.74%63.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.35%82.65%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25%27.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.31%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57%41.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07%77.93%
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 45.75%
    Castellon 25.59%
    Draw 28.63%
Real ZaragozaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 14.73%
2-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.33%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 25.59%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leganes21116431131839
2Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol2110742923637
3Sporting GijonSporting Gijon2198427161135
4Real ValladolidValladolid2111282523235
5Espanyol2197534241034
6Racing de SantanderRacing219663629733
7EibarEibar219573427732
8Levante218852726132
9TenerifeTenerife219482120131
10Real Oviedo217952316730
11Burgos218672927230
12ElcheElche218672122-130
13MirandesMirandes217772928128
14Real ZaragozaZaragoza217772121028
15Eldense216872732-526
16Albacete216782531-625
17Villarreal II216692330-724
18FC AndorraFC Andorra2165101927-823
19Huesca215791618-222
20AlcorconAlcorcon2155111933-1420
21Amorebieta2136121831-1315
22CartagenaCartagena2136121734-1715
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