SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cacereno win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cacereno win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (7.82%).
| Result | ||
| Cacereno | Draw | Castellon |
54.95% ( -0.03) | 25.95% ( 0.01) | 19.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.14% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.25% ( -0.01) | 59.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.95% ( -0.01) | 80.05% ( 0.01) |
| Cacereno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.02) | 21.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.85% ( -0.03) | 55.16% ( 0.03) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.95% ( 0.02) | 46.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.24% ( 0.01) | 81.76% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cacereno | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 15.31% 2-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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