SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
31.22% ( 0) | 29.36% ( 0.04) | 39.42% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.53% ( -0.12) | 63.47% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.19% ( -0.09) | 82.81% ( 0.09) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.07) | 36.91% ( 0.07) |
