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Jun 26, 2022 at 10.30am UK at Aswan Stadium
Sh. Shenhua
2 - 1
Guangzhou
Wang (19'), Yunding (70')
Yunqiu (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shihao (81')
Shihao (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guangzhou 1-0 Hebei
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Guangzhou

Buoyed their victory last time out, Guangzhou will head into Saturday's game full of confidence, but they will be going up against a Shanghai Shenhua side who are firing on all cylinders. We are backing the hosts to come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawGuangzhou
70.83% (0.327 0.33) 19.42% (0.164 0.16) 9.75% (-0.49 -0.49)
Both teams to score 37.8% (-2.092 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-1.883 -1.88)52.8% (1.885 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-1.632 -1.63)74.43% (1.632 1.63)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)13.73% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59% (-0.962 -0.96)41% (0.963 0.96)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.81% (-2.171 -2.17)56.18% (2.172 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.42% (-1.295 -1.3)88.58% (1.296 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 70.81%
    Guangzhou 9.75%
    Draw 19.42%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawGuangzhou
1-0 @ 15.31% (0.85 0.85)
2-0 @ 15.2% (0.59 0.59)
3-0 @ 10.06% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-0 @ 5% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.185 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.195 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 70.81%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.558 0.56)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.42%
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.55% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 9.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 2-0 Wuhan
Monday, June 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Hebei 1-3 Sh. Shenhua
Thursday, June 16 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 2-0 Shanghai Port
Wednesday, June 8 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, June 3 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 3-0 Henan
Monday, January 3 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou 1-0 Hebei
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-0 Guangzhou
Wednesday, June 15 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou 0-1 Wuhan
Saturday, June 11 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan Three Towns 6-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, June 7 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, June 3 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Guangzhou
Saturday, April 30 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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