SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Changchun Yatai | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
32.2% ( -0.62) | 26.32% ( -0.3) | 41.48% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% ( 1.07) | 52.18% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% ( 0.91) | 73.89% ( -0.92) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( 0.13) | 30.29% ( -0.13) |
