SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shandong Taishan | 10 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
26.26% ( 0.01) | 26.68% ( 0) | 47.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.72% ( -0) | 56.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( -0) | 77.32% ( 0.01) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( 0.01) | 36.93% ( -0) |
