SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 1 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
26.5% ( 0.43) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 47.01% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.57% ( 0.36) | 55.43% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% ( 0.3) | 76.62% ( -0.29) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( 0.56) | 36.27% ( -0.56) |
