SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
46.48% ( -0.16) | 23.01% ( 0.06) | 30.51% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.97% ( -0.22) | 38.03% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.71% ( -0.24) | 60.29% ( 0.24) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.15) | 16.75% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.33% ( -0.26) | 46.67% ( 0.26) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.04) | 24.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( -0.06) | 58.8% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.32% Total : 46.48% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.51% |
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