SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
26.69% ( -0.71) | 26.05% ( -0.08) | 47.25% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% ( -0.14) | 53.65% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.11) | 75.14% ( 0.12) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( -0.65) | 35.14% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.11% ( -0.68) | 71.89% ( 0.69) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.3) | 22.7% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( 0.45) | 56.36% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.69% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.24% |
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