Chinese Super League | Gameweek 13
Jun 29, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Shandong
4 - 1
Changchun
We said: Shandong Taishan 2-1 Changchun Yatai
The ineligibility of Souza against his parent club could be the decisive factor in this match, with the free-scoring visitors likely to be blunted by his absence.
Only three teams have conceded fewer goals than Shandong so far this season, and we can envisage them frustrating Changchun on the way to a crucial victory, which would see them leapfrog their opponents in the table.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 79.05%. A draw has a probability of 13.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai has a probability of 7.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.29%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.58%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it is 0-1 (2.53%).
| Result |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
79.05% ( 0.69) | 13.83% ( -0.2) | 7.12% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 44.49% ( -1.9) |
| 63.12% ( -1.03) | 36.88% ( 1.03) |
| 40.94% ( -1.12) | 59.06% ( 1.12) |
| 92.56% ( -0.08) | 7.44% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.22) | 26.77% ( 0.22) |
| 48.07% ( -2.01) | 51.93% ( 2.01) |
