SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Port |
21.84% ( -0.32) | 24.18% ( -0.28) | 53.98% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( 0.76) | 50.37% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( 0.67) | 72.31% ( -0.68) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% ( 0.12) | 37.69% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.53% ( 0.12) | 74.46% ( -0.13) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.51) | 18.58% ( -0.52) |
