SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
35.64% ( -0.25) | 26.86% ( 0.04) | 37.5% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( -0.17) | 53.8% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( -0.14) | 75.27% ( 0.14) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.24) | 28.89% ( 0.23) |
