Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
37.31% ( 0.24) | 25.71% ( 0.11) | 36.98% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( -0.48) | 48.88% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( -0.43) | 70.97% ( 0.43) |
Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% ( -0.09) | 25.58% ( 0.09) |