SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 3-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Wuhan |
75.5% ( -0.33) | 15.68% ( 0.21) | 8.83% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.5% ( -0.59) | 39.5% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.16% ( -0.62) | 61.84% ( 0.62) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.17% ( -0.21) | 8.83% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.53) | 30.26% ( 0.54) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.43% ( -0.13) | 49.57% ( 0.13) |
