SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
25.58% ( -0.19) | 25.25% ( -0.09) | 49.17% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( 0.22) | 51.24% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 0.19) | 73.07% ( -0.19) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% ( -0.04) | 34.77% ( 0.04) |
